大食物观下我国畜禽食物供需趋势、潜力和对策建议

doi:10.11843/j.issn.0366-6964.2025.09.006

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 大食物观是在国家新发展阶段，为适应我国现代化战略安排并改善人民健康饮食形成的创新性观念，其中畜禽方面所涉及的食物范围主要包括肉类、蛋类和奶类产品，在人类饮食中起着不可或缺的作用，对人体健康和维持生命活动具有重要意义。我国畜禽食物消费结构逐步优化，产量与消费量均保持逐年上升的良好势头。畜禽食物生产能力将逐步提高，产量和消费量将稳步增长，但增速放缓，进口量预计呈下降趋势。在此过程中，科技支撑的作用日益凸显，但品种单产低、饲草料资源紧张、智能化装备普及不足等问题仍需克服。未来，畜禽食物产业的发展应聚焦于规模化、智能化、绿色化三大关键方向，加大在生物育种、饲草料资源开发和替代性蛋白资源研究等领域的研发投入，以全面提升畜禽食物的供给能力和安全性。本文综述了我国畜禽食物的人均消费比例、供给量与消费量的动态变化特征，并据此对未来趋势进行了科学预测，深入剖析我国畜禽食物供需结构的变化过程与发展趋势，全面评估该领域内科技创新现状及其所遭遇的瓶颈，进而挖掘畜禽食物供给的潜在增长点，并提出一系列基于科技支撑的策略建议与对策措施，以期为我国大食物观下畜禽食物产业的可持续发展贡献力量。

关键词: 大食物观, 畜牧业, 供需趋势, 潜力挖掘, 对策建议

Abstract: The Big Food Perspective is an innovative concept formed in the new stage of national development to adapt to China’s modernization strategy and improve people’s healthy diet. The range of food involved in livestock and poultry mainly includes meat, eggs and dairy products, which play an indispensable role in human diet and are of great significance to human health and life-sustaining activities. The consumption structure of livestock and poultry food in our country is gradually optimized, and the output and consumption keep a good momentum of increasing year by year. Livestock and poultry food production capacity will gradually increase, and production and consumption will increase steadily. But the growth rate will be slowing down, and the import quantity is expected to decline. In this process, science and technology support is increasingly prominent. However, problems such as low yield of varieties, tight forage resources, and insufficient popularization of intelligent equipment still need to be overcome. In the future, the development of livestock and poultry food industry should focus on scale, intelligence and green. Increaseing invesment should be allocated in biological breeding, forage resource development, and alternative protein resource research to improve the supply and safety of livestock and poultry food. This paper reviewed the dynamic characteristics of per capita consumption ratio, supply and consumption of livestock and poultry food. Based on this, the future trend was forecasted scientifically. An in-depth analysis of livestock and poultry food supply and demand structure of the changing process and development trends in China would be conducted. And to comprehensively assess the status quo of technological innovation and the bottlenecks encountered in this field, then explore the potential growth points of livestock and poultry food supply. Thus proposed a series of strategic suggestions and countermeasures based on technological support, to contribute to the sustainable development of the livestock and poultry food industry under the Big Food Perspective.

Key words: The Big Food Perspective, animal husbandry, supply and demand trends, potential tapping, countermeasures and suggestions

中图分类号:

S8-01

王璐瑶, 王文月, 王婵, 王燕星, 李静红, 林建英, 王立丽, 付广青, 刘军, 卢兵友. 大食物观下我国畜禽食物供需趋势、潜力和对策建议[J]. 畜牧兽医学报, 2025, 56(9): 4191-4203.

WANG Luyao, WANG Wenyue, WANG Chan, WANG Yanxing, LI Jinghong, LIN Jianying, WANG Lili, FU Guangqing, LIU Jun, LU Bingyou. Trend, Potential and Countermeasures of Livestock and Poultry Food Supply and Demand in China from the Big Food Perspective[J]. Acta Veterinaria et Zootechnica Sinica, 2025, 56(9): 4191-4203.

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